Finally, my breakout week. Funny enough, I told my editor that I was uneasy about last week’s spreads. I haven’t heard from him since.
I’ve been very hot over the last four weeks since my hiatus, going 32-25-1. We’re finally over .500 baby, and we’re gonna stay there.
Week 8: 10-5
2019 Season: 44-43-1
THE LOCKS
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (+3)
Sunday, Nov 3 – 8:20 EST
I understand the body of evidence here. Over the last 20 years, arguably no team has played the Patriots as well as the Batimore Ravens. And as my main man from The Athletic, Sheil Kapadia says, always beware of the home dog.
But here’s my body of evidence. Bill Belichick absolutely eats young QBs alive, no matter how they look coming into the game. And this defense is going to absolutely confound Lamar Jackson – I don’t care if he’s playing in New England, Baltimore, or his own backyard.
Good teams win, great teams cover.
Pick: Patriots -3
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5)
Sunday, Oct 27 – 9:30 (am) EST
Vegas is smart – it couldn’t exist if it wasn’t. Once every week or so, there’s a line that’s too good to be true. You see it and your eyes pop out – this is a LOCK! Then, the longer you mull, the clammier your palms become. Is this a trick? Am I being watched? Is there something they know that I don’t?
Don’t pussy out of this one. The Jags aren’t even really “home.” Sure, they get shipped off to London once a year and maybe they’ve built up a mild following across the pond, but the English still can’t tell a quarterback from an orthodontist.
The only thing that concerns me on a weekly basis for the Texans is their coaching, which is admittedly a large piece of the puzzle. But Houston won’t stumble this week against the Jags.
Remember to get your bets in for this one by 9:30 am.
Pick: Texans -1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-5.5)
Sunday, Nov 3 – 4:05 EST
The better question: +/- 2.5 turnovers for Jameis Winston?
Pick: Seahawks -5.5
AND ALL THE REST
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (+10.5)
Pick: Cardinals +10.5
Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills (-9)
Pick: Bills -9
Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)
Pick: Titans +3.5
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)
Pick: Fuck it, Eagles -4.5
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (+3)
Pick: Jets -3
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5)
Pick: Colts -1.5
Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders (-2.5)
Pick: Raiders -2.5
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (+3.5)
Pick: Broncos +3.5
Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs
Pick: No line out until Mahomes decision
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5)
Pick: Packers -3.5
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+7)
Pick: Cowboys -7
